Local property market struggling as prices and volumes fall

Brentford property dream a thing of the past?

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Where do I live? Brentford TW8 postcodes are divided into three sectors, TW8 0xx, TW8 8xx and TW8 9xx. Broadly speaking, TW8 0xx covers areas east of Boston Manor Road, TW8 8xx goes west of Boston Manor Road, whilst TW8 9xx covers the areas to the north of the A4. The mix of properties on offer makes it hard to draw conclusions on property price trends - one cannot fairly compare a one bedroom former local authority property with a three bedroom apartment overlooking Kew Gardens.

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The prospect of large numbers of unoccupied flats in the Brentford area is looming following the publication of the latest set of figures from the Land Registry. They suggest a sharp fall in the number of transactions in the local property market. Home sales fell by nearly 70% compared to the same time last year.

With only 44 properties changing hands in a three month period the market is as quiet as it was during the period of uncertainty following the September 11th attack on the World Trade Centre. The rest of the country also saw a fall in volumes but not to the same extent as Brentford.

With hundreds of new units still to come to the market a glut of properties is looming unless agents can sell properties more effectively.

The only releif is in sales of terraced houses, where the figures show an increase over the previous 12 months of 18%. However the fact that only nine such properties changed hands will surely set alarm bells ringing locally.

The figures show that the average price of a Brentford property is now £256,755. Brentford prices are down by 7.2% over the last year compared to a 9.8% rise for London and a 11.8% national increase.

The figures suggest a worrying time ahead for local estate agents if the trend continues. With such a small turnover of property in the area, a shake-out of the sector is likely this year if a pick up in volumes does not happen. If prices start to fall too, 2005 could be a miserable year for local estate agents.

Property Price Statistics, Jan - Mar 2005

Jan - Mar 2005
  Detached
  Semi-Detached
  Terraced
  Flat/Maisonette
  Overall
Region/Area
Av Price £
Sales
Av Price £
Sales
Av Price £
Sales
Av Price £
Sales
Av Price £
Sales
TW8 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
213993
8
213993
8
TW8 8
0
0
0
0
389333
3
270908
18
287825
21
TW8 9
0
0
261316
3
283666
6
175833
6
236062
15
Overall
-
-
261316
3
318888
9
238853
32
256755
44
Change in Quarter
-
-
-11.6%
-70.0%
29.9%
-55.0%
-15.9%
-46.7%
-7.2%
-51.1%
Change in year
-
-
-21.9%
-57.1%
18.7%
-73.5%
-10.1%
-67.7%
-4.8%
-68.6%

 

Property Price Statistics, Oct - Dec 2004

Sep-Dec 2004   Detached   Semi-Detached   Terraced   Flat/Maisonette   Overall
Region/Area
Av Price £ Sales Av Price £ Sales Av Price £ Sales Av Price £ Sales Av Price £ Sales
TW8 0
0 0 0 0 243955 10 273681 19 263430 29
TW8 8
0 0 241875 4 0 0 323947 24 312222 28
TW8 9
0 0 329991 6 248583 6 189057 7 252360 19
Overall
    294745 10 245691 16 285961 50 278639 76
Change in Quarter
    -5.3% -33.3% -9.8% -27.3% 29.8% -58.0% 17.9% -51.3%
Change in year
    6.7% -16.7% -9.0% -48.4% 1.2% -59.7% -0.4% -54.5%

Source: Land registry

May 11, 2005